​Vinay Jaising with NDTV Profit

Interviewee: ​Vinay Jaising

Interviewer: NDTV Profit

Subject: Investment opportunities

Date: 16 July 2025

Positives

  • More constructive on stocks than on the indices.
  • Last year, retail was firing the Indian markets.
  • FIIs in the last 2-3 months put in about $4 billion into the Indian markets.
  • Crude prices have corrected by 15-20%, which is good for India.
  • We are close to the end of earnings cuts by companies, which is a positive.
  • The banking system is flushed with liquidity.

Negatives

  • Valuations are high

India economy 

  • Indian GDP is incrementally adding 10-20% to world GDP compared to global GDP growth of 1-2%.
  • Risk premium for India has come down substantially. 

Sectors and themes

  • Real estate as a sector could be looked at from an investment perspective with a focus on affordable housing. NBFCs, cement and construction companies can be looked at for investments.
  • Contract Development and Manufacturing Organizations (CDMOs) will grow by 25-30% and are good investment opportunities.
  • Chemicals should be looked at in two parts – one, chemicals used in industries and two, chemicals used in the pharmaceuticals sector. I would bet more on chemicals used in the pharmaceuticals space. 
  • We look at investments in three baskets – basket one, the make in India story; next is we look at the capex cycle where the government budget is about 11 trillion. This includes infrastructure, defence, railways, etc.
  • We have one concern which is B2C companies have not seen growth pick up. Retail consumption has been slipping.
  • The third theme that we focus on is financials and consumption put together. This will include discretionary spends such as telecom and hotels.
  • Earnings growth is coming more in mid and small caps and not so much in large caps.
  • We will see a pivot in earnings growth for all caps, and expect it to move to positive in one more quarter.

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